9.07.2018

NFL Picks - Week 1

Sunday Morning
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland 
Bud Light has positioned 10 “Victory Fridges” in Cleveland bars that will be unlocked immediately after the Browns win their first game of the season, providing free beer for any fan on the premises. I think this is such an ingenious promotion that I’m planning something similar for myself. I’m going to start drinking beer at the beginning of this game and continue to do so each Sunday until the season ends. Also it won’t be free. So it’s not exactly the same thing, but just as creative if you ask me. I actually think the Victory Fridges will be opened this Sunday; not because the Browns are going to win, but because surly Clevelanders will grow impatient and break into each and every one of them.

Steelers 23-16 



Cincinnati @ Indianapolis
Finally we get to see the Bengals and the Colts tangle for the first time in ... 10 days? Bafflingly these two teams closed the preseason against each other on August 30th and here they are facing each other again in Week 1. Who’s idea was that? This is the NFL, it’s not some Rec league where you have to play the same opponent twice because there aren’t enough teams. I get that they’re close geographically, and that’s a factor for preseason games, but I feel like nobody even checked the schedule before this happened. The sides probably didn't learn much from each other in that final preseason game, considering most of the starters didn’t play, but come on, somebody tell me the reason! I’m losing it over here, just give me the answer! Anyway, I’ll pick Cincinnati because they obviously have the Colts' number based on that preseason win.

Bengals 20-17 



Tennessee @ Miami 
This was one of the hardest games of the week for me to pick. Not because it’s evenly matched, but because every time I glance at it I just think, “Yuck” and move on. Perhaps not coincidentally Jay Cutler did the same thing in regards to playing football ever again. It was the obvious move with Ryan Tannehill coming back from injury and Cutler’s disdain for competitive sports. Even with an interested human back under center the Dolphins don’t figure to be much of a factor in a weak AFC where a team like the Titans is coming off a trip to the Divisional round. Speaking of Tennessee, they revamped their uniforms in the offseason, and the results are ... pretty much the inverse of their old ones. It’s a decent effort, but ultimately pretty boring, so basically the epitome of the Titans.

Titans 22-19 



San Francisco @ Minnesota
Much has been made of Jimmy Garappolo being undefeated as a starter, but what about the fact that he won 2 Super Bowls as a backup? Is it me, or does it make more sense for the 49ers to bench him? That seems like the true path to a title. Many think the Vikings’ path may have been cleared by the signing of Kirk Cousins, a man who has gone 26-30-1 as a starter. Is it wrong to be skeptical of Cousins’ elevated status? You could argue that he’s not to blame for that sub .500 record because Washington was pretty lousy when he was there. But isn’t that the point, that they were lousy when he was there? I’m not fully sold on him, and I won’t be until he wins multiple MVPs and Super Bowls. Sorry, just being fair. I will pick him to win this week though. 

Vikings 27-17 



Houston @ New England 
In his first five seasons JJ Watt played in all 80 of his team’s games. In the last two seasons he’s played in just 8 of their 32. At a glance it would seem that he’s simply become injury prone. However, I think it’s possible that he’s outgrowing his own body in some sort of prolonged shedding process. As a result it’s much harder for him to play football. So is his man molt complete? Only time will tell. But he’s healthy for now, which means he should be a factor on Sunday. Also figuring to be a factor is Houston’s 2nd year quarterback DeShaun Watson, who is returning from an ACL tear and lit up the Patriots in a Week 3 matchup last season. Can he do it again? Sure, why not. UPSET!

Texans 30-28 



Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
Jamies Winston has been suspended for the first 3 games of the season for being a scumbag. That could be considered a heavy blow to the Bucs except for the fact that they were much better at winning games when Ryan Fitzpatrick was their starting quarterback last year. It’s also not that impactful because Tampa was and is going to suck regardless. So there’s a bone for ya Bucs fans, cheer up! Just kidding, nobody in Tampa reads this blog; most of the internet, isn’t available in Florida. 

Saints 34-13



Jacksonville @ New York Giants
This offseason Eli Manning was among the many players criticized by Jags corner back Jalen Ramsey in a GQ interview. Ramsey said Manning’s success is due to playing with Odell Beckham, Jr., a player who was not on the Giants  roster either time they won the Super Bowl. So maybe Ramsey isn’t a bona fide NFL historian, but he doesn’t have to be, that’s not his job. At least not that I’m aware of. Is there a chance he does some freelance work as an NFL Films archivist to earn some extra cash? Sure. I can't rule that out. I’m just saying I personally have not heard that that’s the case. Jacksonville nearly made history last season by reaching their first Super Bowl, while the Giants made history of their own by being the worst team in franchise history (still waiting on a verification of that stat from Jalen Ramsey). Look for the Jags to springboard off their surprising performance last season and come out with some swagger in an opening win. Or they’ll completely implode because they’re the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Jaguars 19-13 



Buffalo @ Baltimore 
The Bills have named Nathan Peterman their starting quarterback for this game. They have yet to announce who will finish the game. I’m not saying Peterman will definitely get yanked, but based on his previous starts (like the one against the Chargers in which he threw 5 first half interceptions) there’s a strong possibility we’ll see rookie Josh Allen make his debut at some point. The Ravens should get the win here, because they’re the team involved in this game that isn't starting Nathan Peterman.

Ravens 27-9 



Sunday Afternoon

Kansas City @ Los Angeles Chargers
There’s a lot of buzz around these chargers. I think maybe it’s because they’re not plugged in all the way, one second ... Yep that was it, the buzz is gone. The LA Chargers have a fair bit of buzz around them too. Hey where are you going? What do you mean? That wasn’t that bad. Definitely not my worst. Look, if that was too much for you maybe we should just part ways now. Ok fine, see ya later. Alright, where were we? Or “where was I” I should say, ha. Because it’s just me now, I’m all alone here. So why am I still writing? If no one is here to read this do I still exist? Hello?!? HELLO?!!!!!!? I’m trapped in a purgatory of my own creation! AAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!! 

Chargers 27-23 



Seattle @ Denver
Moving on ... It hasn’t even been five years since these teams met in Super Bowl XLVIII, and yet only 8 players that were active for that game will play this Sunday. That number would have been much higher had the Seahawks not gone through a roster overhaul this offseason. Trades, cuts, and career-ending injuries have made the Seattle defense almost unrecognizable. It’s as if they’re collectively wearing a giant pair of Groucho glasses. In what amounted to a removal of the mustache, Earl Thomas returned to the squad this week after a contract standoff. While some would argue that his frustration will be a detriment to the team, I would contend that this actually makes them unbeatable. Yahoo!

Seahawks 20-16 



Washington @ Arizona
The main question surrounding Washington after the Alex Smith trade has to be, who will they draft next year to eventually replace him? Smith is a decent enough quarterback, and can occasionally be very good, but it always seems like he’s just there until his team can find the guy they really want to be their franchise QB. In short, he’s the offended girlfriend in that wandering eye boyfriend meme. In my season preview I, perhaps facetiously, suggested that the Cardinals will go 0-16 this year, but this has to be their best chance to win a game considering it’s the only time that their roster will be remotely healthy. The Arizona brass looked at their injury-prone squad in the offseason and decided to add Sam Bradford as the new starting quarterback. I mean, it’s on brand, but yikes. If Bradford is still on the field in Week 8 I’m guessing it will be because he’s been laying there in a heap for a month and they haven’t been able to drag him off yet. Don’t worry though, they’ll put up some cones and caution tape so that no one steps on him.

Washington 16-13 



Dallas @ Carolina
The Panthers are coming off an 11 win playoff season which means they’re doomed in 2018. Why? Consider their records under Ron Rivera:

2011: 6-10
2012: 7-9
2013: 12-4
2014: 7-8-1
2015: 15-1
2016: 6-10
2017: 11-5 

Based on what I see hear a losing season is inevitable. Every time they post double-digit wins they immediately fall back to earth. Ron Rivera must learn from history or else he’s doomed to repeat it ... again. After some quick research, it turns out that Rivera is a major Civil War buff. In other words he’s demonstrated that he can learn from history. Carolina is gonna be fine!

Panthers 26-17



Sunday Night 

Chicago @ Green Bay
It's the first Sunday Night Football game of the season, so you know what that means, it's time to hear from the man who will be in the booth to call it; ol' CriColl himself, Cris Collinsworth:
You're untouchable as far as I'm concerned CC. 

Packers 24-15



Monday Night

New York Jets @ Detroit
It’s the first Monday night game of the season and we’re kicking it off with ... Jets versus Lions. Huh? What happened, did Titans/Dolphins turn it down? I suppose Sam Darnold’s debut will lend some cachet to this contest, but that doesn’t mean I’m giving them my cash, eh. I wouldn’t have to regardless, because this game is being televised on ESPN, not pay-per-view, but you get what I’m saying, right? You get that I thought, “Cachet kind of sounds like a Canadian taking about money. Welp, too good not to use it.”

Lions 22-16 



Los Angeles Rams @ Oakland
Jon Gruden hasn’t even coached a game (again) yet for the Raiders, but he’s already making waves. Actually, maybe they’re more like ripples or bubbles, because this is reminiscent of someone farting in a pool. 9 days prior to his team’s opening game of the season, Gruden jettisoned their best player and delivered a rousing message to players and fans alike that this team is not ready to win now. That’s a stark contrast to the attitude in LA, where the Rams have bolstered their already impressive roster by adding multiple pro bowlers. Names like Marcus Peters (previously kicked off his college team and suspended a game by his own team in the NFL), Aqib Talib (previously suspended by the league for snatching a chain), and Ndamukong Suh (previously suspended by the league for stomping on people). There are sure to be no negative repercussions when adding three locker room anti-toxins (the opposite of cancers) such as them. Actually this is a disaster waiting to happen; but the Raiders are a disaster that’s already occurred, so I’ll pick LA.

Rams 31-10 

9.06.2018

NFL Picks - Week 1 Thursday

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Last season the Eagles won the Super Bowl (double-checking ... yes that’s correct) thanks in no small part to coach Doug Pederson’s aggressive play calling. Said aggression was on full display in the Super Bowl itself when two pivotal 4th down conversions proved to be major turning points in the game. So what can Pederson do for an encore? Press the pedal even more squarely to the metal. Keep going for it on 4th down, but if you get stopped just keep the offense on the field. Have your center line up opposite the other center and try to wrestle the ball away so that you can snap it first. What are the refs going to do about? There’s nothing in the rule book that says you can’t. Ok, just checked the rule book and sure enough you can’t do that. It says so right there on the first page. Whoops! Alright, well how about this, go the other way, start punting on 3rd down. Catch the opposition off guard and see how they respond. Most likely with gratitude, but you don’t know unless you try. I picked against the Eagles in every playoff game and they won the Super Bowl. I haven’t learned my lesson yet, and I refuse to in the future.

Falcons 24-21

8.31.2018

2018 NFL Preview

It’s time for another NFL season, football ain’t canceled yet baby! Though I was kind of assuming it would be, which is why I didn’t keep up on any league news this offseason. As such I’ve been cramming for the last 24 hours to try to get up to speed. Apparently all these players hate America now and it’s illegal to hit people? What gives? I watch football for two reasons, patriotism and concussions. And now the liberal wimps are trying to take both away from me. Nuts to that! Due to the staggering success of this column I’m obligated to still tune in every week, but rest assured I'll be doing it begrudgingly as hell. 

Since the NFL has become a parody of itself it seems appropriate to discuss parity itself. We hear about the increased parity in the league so often that we’ve become sort of numb to the topic, but that doesn’t mean that it’s a false phenomenon. In fact, it’s even more prevalent than I initially thought. Here’s a telling stat, in each of the last 10 seasons the league, as a whole, has gone exactly .500. Unbelievable! If that’s not parity, I don’t know what is. When you unearth a stat like that you can’t ignore it, and I don’t intend to. With that in mind, here are my final win/loss predictions for every team:

AFC East
New England     8-8
New York Jets    8-8
Miami                 8-8
Buffalo               8-8

AFC North
Pittsburgh      8-8
Baltimore       8-8  
Cleveland      8-8
Cincinnati      8-8

AFC South
Jacksonville  8-8
Houston        8-8
Tennessee    8-8
Indianapolis  8-8

AFC West
Los Angeles Chargers  8-8
Kansas City                  8-8
Denver                          8-8
Oakland                        8-8

NFC East
Philadelphia          8-8 
New York Giants   8-8
Dallas                    8-8
Washington           8-8

NFC North
Minnesota    8-8
Green Bay   8-8
Chicago       8-8
Detroit          8-8

NFC South
Atlanta            8-8
New Orleans  8-8
Carolina         8-8
Tampa Bay     8-8

NFC West
Seattle                    16-0
Los Angeles Rams  8-8
San Francisco         8-8
Arizona                   0-16


AFC Playoffs

Wild Card
#3 Chargers over #6 Chiefs
#5 Texans over #4 Steelers

Divisional 
#5 Texans over #1 Patriots
#2 Jaguars over #3 Chargers

Championship
#2 Jaguars over #5 Texans


NFC Playoffs

Wild Card
#3 Eagles over #6 Saints
#4 Vikings over #5 Packers

Divisional
#1 Seahawks over #4 Vikings
#2 Falcons over #3 Eagles

Championship 
#1 Seahawks over #2 Falcons


Super Bowl LIII
Seahawks over Jaguars


2.02.2018

NFL Picks - Super Bowl LII

Philadelphia vs. New England
It’s time for the big game! At least that’s what I’d say if I were some wimp-ass that was afraid of getting sued. But I’m a tough jock type so I’ll just come right out and say it’s time for the SuperBowl! (Combined it into one word just to save space, not because I’m afraid of litigation from the NFL) As I’m sure you heard, this game is a rematch ... of a SuperBowl from 13 years ago. The only player left from that game is Tom Brady, so we shouldn’t take too much away from it ... Or should we? That first Philly/New England SB was played in Jacksonville, this one will be played in Minnesota. Jacksonville and Minnesota, the two teams the Pats and Eagles beat to get to this game. This is SuperBowl LII (52), the last match-up was SuperBowl XXXIX (39), both multiples of 13. And what, do you dare guess, is New England's total point differential in the Brady/Belichick SuperBowls? +12! That’s almost 13! I’m taking a turn toward Jim Carrey-level obsession here. Only one man can pull me out of this psychological tailspin and put me on the right path, the man who will provide color commentary for the game, Cris Collinsworth:


It’s a Patriots SuperBowl, so it’s bound to be close. Of course their score will also be some multiple of 13, because it’s a conspiracy! Head referee Gene Steratore is a member of the Illuminati and he will leave his bloody fingerprints on this game! I've picked against the underdog Eagles twice this postseason and they've won both games. I'm going to go ahead and predict they'll lose for a third time; Philly, you know what to do.

Patriots 26-23

1.19.2018

NFL Picks - Conference Championships

Jacksonville @ New England
Bortles vs. Brady! It’s the match-up you never knew you always wanted. Jaguars’ quarterback Blake Bortles will be starting his first AFC title game whereas New England QB Tom Brady will be starting his 12th. One has no experience, the other has tons. It reminds me of a dad taking his son to a brothel on his 18th birthday to lose his virginity. And we all know how that turns out, the one with the experience always wins ... Er wait, no, the virgin is the winner there. Maybe this analogy has become strained, but if we see Bortles fumbling with his belt in the first quarter we’ll know at that point that he’s in over his head. Believe it or not this will be the fifth time these teams have met in the playoffs, which will be news to the readers out there who had no idea the Jaguars franchise has even played in four playoff games total before this. The Pats are 3-1 in the series, with the home team winning every previous meeting. Though the first of those contests was in January of ‘97 when, I’m pretty sure, approximately half the Jacksonville roster was not yet born, so what bearing does that record really have on this Sunday? The more I think about this game the more perplexed I get.  Luckily for me, even though NBC analyst Cris Collinsworth won’t be calling a game this week, I dropped him a line and got his two cents on this match-up:


That’s cool man, I believe you. And I think I believe you about the game too. The Jags are a threat, but probably aren’t ready to get this monumental win just yet.

Patriots 24-19




Minnesota @ Philadelphia
Going into the season I predicted that each of these teams would finish 8-8, so I’m just as surprised as you that this is the match-up in the NFC title game. Unless you’re going to tell me that you’re not surprised, in which case I’d say that I really don’t appreciate you lying to me after all we’ve been through together. What’s more shocking is how the teams got here, with back-up quarterbacks that both toiled under Jeff Fisher with the Rams. The most shocking aspect not being that they were reserves who are now a win away from starting a Super Bowl, but that they’ve managed to be successful even with the stink of Jeff Fisher hanging over their careers. Let’s be honest though, the strength of these teams is their defenses, and this one figures to be low-scoring, or at least it better be if the Eagles actually want to win. This is another tough one to pick, just like the earlier contest. I’m torn again. When that happens I have no choice but to enact a rarely used emergency procedure ... BONUS CRICOLL!!!


Couldn’t help but notice he didn’t make an actual prediction, other than that both teams will poop during the game, maybe? I guess I’ll have to handle this myself. The Eagles believe that everybody outside of their locker room has written them off. Well count me amongst them, because I’m literally writing them off for the second time in two weeks.

Vikings 17-12


1.12.2018

NFL Picks - Divisional Round

Saturday

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
The Eagles enter this game as the only #1 seed to ever be an underdog in the Divisional Round. Even the scurvy-ravaged Chicago Cardinals of 1946 were laying a point and a half. Are Philadelphia and Foles really worthy of this skepticism? Let’s turn to the man who will be in the booth this Saturday afternoon for his analysis; take it away CriColl:


My thoughts exactly. All of it.

Falcons 24-16



Tennessee @ New England 
This one smells like a blowout. And what does that smell like exactly? Almonds. Don’t you think it smells like almonds? I do. In fact I’m smelling them right now. I know what you’re thinking, and no, I’m not having a stroke. My lips were chapped so I lathered them in almond butter. So now don’t you feel like an idiot for making assumptions? Perhaps I shouldn’t follow my nose regarding the Titans, however, because just one week ago I said that I didn’t see any way Tennessee could win at KC. Of course, the Titans won, but I stand by my original statement, because on multiple occasions during the second half I shouted, “No way!” I don’t imagine the Patriots will make the same mistakes or go as stagnant as the Chiefs did last week; New England tends to increase their lead in the second half, not blow it. And if I’m wrong, it’ll only be the third time this year. 

Patriots 34-13



Sunday

Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh
As you may have heard, this is a rematch of a Week 5 statement win by the Jaguars. In that game they managed to blowout Pittsburgh 30-9 despite Blake Bortles throwing for only 95 yards. That’s a great sign for Jacksonville seeing as how they only got 85 yards from Blake in their Wild Card win over Buffalo. Looking at that stat it’s hard to imagine how the Jags could’ve beat the Steelers so handily back in October. It’s much easier to comprehend when you realize that Jacksonville had two pick sixes and a 90-yard TD run from Leonard Fournette. Obviously you can’t just call three big plays like that a fluke, but if you remove them from the equation who knows how that first game goes; these two teams are probably still playing! Yes, I know that even if the score had been 9-9 it would have just ended in a tie after overtime. And yes I am aware that Jacksonville missed one of their post-pick six PATs, which means that even without the big plays the score would’ve been 10-9. Forget it! All I’m saying is that I believe in an infinite timeline in which one could theoretically travel back in time to any given moment. So in a manner of speaking these two teams are, in fact, still playing, and will forever be. And even if that’s not true they’ll play again Sunday, so we’ll just see what happens then. Pittsburgh doesn’t have to play totally mistake-free, but if they can avoid the catastrophic plays they fell prey to the first time around, and force Blake Bortles to throw for more than 100 yards they should get the win. 

Steelers 20-13



New Orleans @ Minnesota
These teams met back in Week 1 and the Vikings are hoping this one is a carbon-copy of that contest. Though can we really expect that? I mean the star offensive players for Minnesota in their first match-up were Dalvin Cook and Sam Bradford, and the Saints were trying to figure out how to incorporate Adrian Peterson into their game plan. So clearly things were very different. And I haven’t even gotten to the Coozer yet. Remember the Coozer? He was that party animal the Vikings had on their sideline who kept distracting Drew Brees by making real loud (and convincing) fart noises whenever New Orleans would step to the line of scrimmage. He also slammed brews the entire game and made a pyramid of the empties for players to crash through when they got shoved out of bounds. Everybody was pretty sure that he was violating NFL bylaws, but everybody was absolutely sure that he was totally righteous! I mean a real pounder. Of course, as we all know The Coozer disappeared shortly thereafter when an APB went out in the Minneapolis area for a hit-and-run involving a car registered in his name that had a LOT of illegal pets in the trunk. Needless to say he won’t be a factor this time around. Be that as it may I think homefield advantage, mistake-free offensive play, and a top-notch D will be enough to get the Vikes the win. Or as The Coozer would say, “I hope yer bald, cause we’re about to shit on your heads!” Man, he was great.

Vikings 23-20

1.05.2018

NFL Picks - Wild Card Round

Saturday 

Tennessee @ Kansas City
The 2017 season ended with four AFC teams at 9-7 and somehow the two worst ones made the playoffs. I’m not saying the Ravens and Chargers are top notch squadrons, but c’mon, they could beat the Titans and Bills. And I guess this would be in some sort of tag-team match? The TenneBuff team could do some cool trick plays with Mariota and Taylor, whereas the BaltAngeles team’s QBs would be decidedly less athletic. But since Phil Flacco is only a fantasy, I suppose we should move forward to focusing on the actual game at hand. This is an intriguing match-up between ... no it’s not. I don’t see any way that the Titans go into Kansas City and win this game, and if they do? It’d be the first time I’ve been wrong all year. 

Chiefs 26-13



Atlanta @ Los Angeles Rams
It’s the first playoff game in Los Angeles since January of 1994, and it promises to be a scene this Saturday night. One man who will be right in the thick of things is NBC analyst Cris Collinsworth. Let’s see what he thinks of this match-up:


To be fair, any analysis that doesn't weave in the Sixth Sense is inadequate.

Rams 27-24 



Sunday

Buffalo @ Jacksonville
I can almost guarantee Trump already has a tweet drafted for Monday about how much lower the playoff ratings are because of him. Well it ain’t you pal, it’s that we’re getting games like Bills/Jags. However, I for one am fairly jazzed for this match-up. Come on, it’s Bills/Jags and it’s a playoff game! This is like when Butler and VCU played in the Final Four, I’m not totally sure how we got here, but I don’t wanna go back. Well yes I do, but I’ve grown to accept the restraints of our known, linear timeline. I’d say that Buffalo doesn’t have much of a shot in this one, but they’re playing against Blake Bortles in the playoffs. We don’t know exactly what that will look like and I couldn’t be more excited to find out. Ok, I suppose I could be more excited, but then it would be apparent to those around me and when they ask what I’m so excited about I’d have to reply “Blake Bortles starting a playoff game.” So to save some embarrassment I’m going to dial it back a bit.

Jaguars 24-12



Carolina @ New Orleans 
Can the Saints beat the Panthers three times in one season? I’m not so sure. I mean there’s no way Cam Newton will allow himself to be demoralized by two previous losses, he never let’s anything get him down. Except for losses, and turnovers, and incompletions, and rushes of less than four yards ... Ok so maybe Carolina is screwed. New Orleans may have had one of their most productive losses in years last week at Tampa, because it made them the 4 seed instead of the 3, and now if they get the win on Sunday they at least have the chance to travel to Philadelphia in the Divisional Round instead of automatically going to Minnesota. Of course, that’s a big if. It would mean the Saints would have to rattle Newton with an early incompletion this Sunday, but after that he should be crestfallen enough that he's easy to prey upon.

Saints 28-19